Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.36) 1.53 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.8% 24.3% 68.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
24.7%
0 - 2
18.9%
0 - 0
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting CP B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 16.2% 24.7% 18.9% 9.6% 3.7% 1.1%
1 4.7% 7.3% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
2 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenafielSporting CP B
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack57%93%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penafiel Sporting CP B
HATHAT
Played4610549
Wins25%33%30%80%75%78%
Draws25%33%30%0%0%0%
Loses50%33%40%20%25%22%

Form: Penafiel: LDLLDWWLDW • Sporting CP B: WWLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Penafiel Sporting CP B
HATHAT
GF total381111718
GF avg0.81.31.12.21.82.0
GA total4610325
GA avg1.01.01.00.60.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenafielSporting CP B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%50%78%44%
1.540%40%56%11%
2.510%10%44%0%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenafielSporting CP B
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricPenafielSporting CP B
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPenafielSporting CP B
Wins22
Draws10
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-20-11-0
Goals For2344
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricPenafielSporting CP B
Form45%55%
Att38%62%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total44.8%55.2%

Advice: Double chance : Penafiel or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.12 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penafiel = 0.29 (league 1.36), Sporting CP B = 1.53 (league 1.18)

Sporting CP B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 16.2% 24.7% 18.9% 9.6% 3.7% 1.1%
1 4.7% 7.3% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
2 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.8% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 68.5%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1