Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.32) 0.51 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.6% 40.0% 22.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.0%
1 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Oliveirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portimonense 0 28.0% 14.4% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.3% 10.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortimonenseOliveirense
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack50%42%
Defense17%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portimonense Oliveirense
HATHAT
Played5496410
Wins20%50%33%33%0%20%
Draws40%0%22%50%50%50%
Loses40%50%44%17%50%30%

Form: Portimonense: WLDWLWDLL • Oliveirense: DDWLDDDLWL

League goals

Metric Portimonense Oliveirense
HATHAT
GF total5712729
GF avg1.01.81.31.20.50.9
GA total611177411
GA avg1.22.81.91.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortimonenseOliveirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%100%60%60%
1.533%44%30%40%
2.511%22%0%10%
3.50%22%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortimonenseOliveirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score101134

Penalties

MetricPortimonenseOliveirense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPortimonenseOliveirense
Wins11
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-31-0—
Biggest losses1-24-10-23-2
Goals For2322
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricPortimonenseOliveirense
Form44%56%
Att55%45%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Portimonense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ Pinnacle
Away4.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portimonense = 0.76 (league 1.32), Oliveirense = 0.51 (league 1.17)

Oliveirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portimonense 0 28.0% 14.4% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.3% 10.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 8.1% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.6% · Draw 40.0% · Away win 22.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1