Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 11:00 • Estádio Municipal do Fontelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.31) 1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.7% 27.1% 30.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Penafiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academico Viseu 0 8.6% 9.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.8% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcademico ViseuPenafiel
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack100%86%
Defense14%14%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Academico Viseu Penafiel
HATHAT
Played56115712
Wins60%33%45%20%29%25%
Draws20%33%27%40%29%33%
Loses20%33%27%40%43%42%

Form: Academico Viseu: LDLWDLDWWWW • Penafiel: LDLLDWWLDWDL

League goals

Metric Academico Viseu Penafiel
HATHAT
GF total815234913
GF avg1.62.52.10.81.31.1
GA total511165813
GA avg1.01.81.51.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcademico ViseuPenafiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%67%58%
1.573%55%33%42%
2.527%18%8%8%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcademico ViseuPenafiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets303235
Failed to score101224

Penalties

MetricAcademico ViseuPenafiel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAcademico ViseuPenafiel
Wins12
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-52-01-3
Biggest losses2-33-20-23-2
Goals For3523
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricAcademico ViseuPenafiel
Form72%28%
Att70%30%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h85%15%
Goals100%0%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Academico Viseu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Academico Viseu = 1.34 (league 1.31), Penafiel = 1.11 (league 1.17)

Penafiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academico Viseu 0 8.6% 9.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.8% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.7% 8.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.9% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.7% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 30.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1