Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:00 • Estádio Luís Filipe Menezes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.35) 1.24 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 26.7% 35.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.2%
0 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto B 0 7.9% 9.8% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.2% 12.7% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Porto BLusitânia Lourosa
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack63%63%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Porto B Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins33%20%27%0%40%18%
Draws17%20%18%83%0%45%
Loses50%60%55%17%60%36%

Form: FC Porto B: DLLLLDLWLWW • Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDLD

League goals

Metric FC Porto B Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
GF total5386612
GF avg0.80.60.71.01.21.1
GA total791671118
GA avg1.21.81.51.22.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Porto BLusitânia Lourosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%64%82%82%
1.518%55%27%45%
2.50%18%0%27%
3.50%9%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Porto BLusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricFC Porto BLusitânia Lourosa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFC Porto BLusitânia Lourosa
Wins11
Draws12
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-11-2
Biggest losses0-24-01-24-0
Goals For2222
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricFC Porto BLusitânia Lourosa
Form82%18%
Att50%50%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total64.8%35.3%

Advice: Double chance : FC Porto B or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.88 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Porto B = 1.30 (league 1.35), Lusitânia Lourosa = 1.24 (league 1.16)

Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto B 0 7.9% 9.8% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 10.2% 12.7% 7.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.3% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 35.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1