Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 14:00 • Estadio Carlos Osorio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.35) 1.04 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 24.9% 24.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oliveirense 0 7.1% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.9% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOliveirenseLeixoes
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack57%86%
Defense14%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oliveirense Leixoes
HATHAT
Played65117512
Wins33%0%18%43%20%33%
Draws50%60%55%0%20%8%
Loses17%40%27%57%60%58%

Form: Oliveirense: DDWLDDDLWLD • Leixoes: WDWLLLLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Oliveirense Leixoes
HATHAT
GF total73108513
GF avg1.20.60.91.11.01.1
GA total751214923
GA avg1.21.01.12.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOliveirenseLeixoes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%64%58%83%
1.527%36%25%58%
2.50%9%25%25%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOliveirenseLeixoes
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score134325

Penalties

MetricOliveirenseLeixoes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricOliveirenseLeixoes
Wins11
Draws31
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—3-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-21-53-1
Goals For2233
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricOliveirenseLeixoes
Form45%55%
Att40%60%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total54.0%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Oliveirense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.58 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oliveirense = 1.60 (league 1.35), Leixoes = 1.04 (league 1.16)

Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oliveirense 0 7.1% 7.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.4% 11.9% 6.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.2% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 4.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.0% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 24.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1