Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.96 (league 1.35) 0.62 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.2% 10.8% 5.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.2%
3 - 0
12.0%
4 - 0
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Felgueiras 1932
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.9% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraFelgueiras 1932
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack67%40%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Felgueiras 1932
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%0%18%50%0%27%
Draws40%50%45%17%40%27%
Loses20%50%36%33%60%45%

Form: Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLWL • Felgueiras 1932: LLDWWLWDLLD

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Felgueiras 1932
HATHAT
GF total103139312
GF avg2.00.51.21.50.61.1
GA total691571017
GA avg1.21.51.41.22.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraFelgueiras 1932
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%73%64%91%
1.536%55%36%45%
2.518%9%9%18%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraFelgueiras 1932
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score145134

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraFelgueiras 1932
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraFelgueiras 1932
Wins12
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-1—3-1—
Biggest losses1-23-01-33-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraFelgueiras 1932
Form58%42%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h13%88%
Goals42%58%
Total51.7%48.7%

Advice: Winner : Pacos Ferreira

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.07 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pacos Ferreira = 2.96 (league 1.35), Felgueiras 1932 = 0.62 (league 1.16)

Felgueiras 1932
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.2% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 7.6% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.0% 7.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.9% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.2% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 5.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1