Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio Municipal de Portimão
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.15 (league 1.32) 1.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.5% 29.9% 65.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
30.9%
0 - 0
25.0%
0 - 2
19.0%
Score & goals probability table
Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portimonense 0 25.0% 30.9% 19.0% 7.8% 2.4% 0.6%
1 3.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortimonenseMaritimo
Played55
Form13%60%
Attack38%88%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portimonense Maritimo
HATHAT
Played65117512
Wins17%40%27%43%80%58%
Draws50%0%27%29%0%17%
Loses33%60%45%29%20%25%

Form: Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDL • Maritimo: LWWWDWDLLWWW

League goals

Metric Portimonense Maritimo
HATHAT
GF total67139615
GF avg1.01.41.21.31.21.3
GA total71219819
GA avg1.22.41.71.10.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortimonenseMaritimo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%100%83%50%
1.527%36%42%17%
2.59%18%0%8%
3.50%18%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortimonenseMaritimo
HATHAT
Clean sheets000246
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricPortimonenseMaritimo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPortimonenseMaritimo
Wins13
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-11-31-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2431

Model comparison

MetricPortimonenseMaritimo
Form18%82%
Att30%70%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Maritimo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away2.16 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portimonense = 0.15 (league 1.32), Maritimo = 1.23 (league 1.17)

Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portimonense 0 25.0% 30.9% 19.0% 7.8% 2.4% 0.6%
1 3.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
2 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.5% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 65.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1