Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Municipal de Chaves
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.31) 0.30 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.2% 41.6% 13.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.1%
1 - 0
26.6%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Pacos Ferreira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 33.1% 10.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 8.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.7% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChavesPacos Ferreira
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack31%69%
Defense77%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chaves Pacos Ferreira
HATHAT
Played67136612
Wins17%57%38%33%0%17%
Draws67%14%38%50%50%50%
Loses17%29%23%17%50%33%

Form: Chaves: DDDWDWWLLLWDW • Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLWLD

League goals

Metric Chaves Pacos Ferreira
HATHAT
GF total4101411314
GF avg0.71.41.11.80.51.2
GA total4597916
GA avg0.70.70.71.21.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChavesPacos Ferreira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%58%75%
1.531%15%33%50%
2.50%0%17%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChavesPacos Ferreira
HATHAT
Clean sheets246123
Failed to score213145

Penalties

MetricChavesPacos Ferreira
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChavesPacos Ferreira
Wins21
Draws33
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-1—
Biggest losses0-12-11-23-0
Goals For1242
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricChavesPacos Ferreira
Form50%50%
Att31%69%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chaves or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away6.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ Pinnacle
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chaves = 0.80 (league 1.31), Pacos Ferreira = 0.30 (league 1.15)

Pacos Ferreira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 33.1% 10.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 8.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.7% 3.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.2% · Draw 41.6% · Away win 13.1%

vtt 13 , vtd1