Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:00 • Estádio do Lusitânia FC
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.35) 1.45 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.3% 23.0% 31.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 4.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.0% 10.2% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitânia LourosaPortimonense
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack46%15%
Defense23%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Portimonense
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins0%50%25%14%40%25%
Draws83%0%42%43%0%25%
Loses17%50%33%43%60%50%

Form: Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDLDW • Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLL

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total68146713
GF avg1.01.31.20.91.41.1
GA total7121991221
GA avg1.22.01.61.32.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitânia LourosaPortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%75%100%
1.533%42%25%42%
2.50%25%8%17%
3.50%8%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitânia LourosaPortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricLusitânia LourosaPortimonense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLusitânia LourosaPortimonense
Wins11
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-22-12-3
Biggest losses1-24-00-24-1
Goals For2223
Goals Against2424

Model comparison

MetricLusitânia LourosaPortimonense
Form83%17%
Att75%25%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.8%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lusitânia Lourosa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia Lourosa = 1.77 (league 1.35), Portimonense = 1.45 (league 1.16)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 4.0% 5.8% 4.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
1 7.0% 10.2% 7.4% 3.6% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.7% 5.4% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.3% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 31.3%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1