Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Luís Filipe Menezes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.31) 1.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.9% 29.2% 43.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Penafiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto B 0 12.0% 14.7% 9.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Porto BPenafiel
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack47%40%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Porto B Penafiel
HATHAT
Played76136814
Wins29%33%31%33%25%29%
Draws14%17%15%33%25%29%
Loses57%50%54%33%50%43%

Form: FC Porto B: DLLLLDLWLWWLW • Penafiel: LDLLDWWLDWDLLW

League goals

Metric FC Porto B Penafiel
HATHAT
GF total67135914
GF avg0.91.21.00.81.11.0
GA total9112051015
GA avg1.31.81.50.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Porto BPenafiel
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%69%64%57%
1.523%62%29%43%
2.58%15%7%7%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Porto BPenafiel
HATHAT
Clean sheets314336
Failed to score235235

Penalties

MetricFC Porto BPenafiel
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFC Porto BPenafiel
Wins22
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-42-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-22-0
Goals For2423
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricFC Porto BPenafiel
Form56%44%
Att54%46%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : FC Porto B or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.39 @ Pinnacle
Away3.46 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Porto B = 0.89 (league 1.31), Penafiel = 1.23 (league 1.17)

Penafiel
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto B 0 12.0% 14.7% 9.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 10.7% 13.2% 8.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2%
2 4.8% 5.9% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 43.7%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1