Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Carlos Osorio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.32) 1.20 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.3% 30.5% 48.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oliveirense 0 15.1% 18.1% 10.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.4% 12.5% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOliveirenseChaves
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack27%33%
Defense67%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Oliveirense Chaves
HATHAT
Played76137714
Wins43%0%23%29%57%43%
Draws43%50%46%57%14%36%
Loses14%50%31%14%29%21%

Form: Oliveirense: DDWLDDDLWLDWL • Chaves: DDDWDWWLLLWDWW

League goals

Metric Oliveirense Chaves
HATHAT
GF total931261016
GF avg1.30.50.90.91.41.1
GA total7714459
GA avg1.01.21.10.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOliveirenseChaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%62%79%50%
1.531%38%36%14%
2.50%8%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOliveirenseChaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets325347
Failed to score145213

Penalties

MetricOliveirenseChaves
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricOliveirenseChaves
Wins12
Draws33
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-12-1
Goals For2222
Goals Against2312

Model comparison

MetricOliveirenseChaves
Form41%59%
Att44%56%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total31.3%68.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chaves and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.60 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ SBO
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Oliveirense = 0.69 (league 1.32), Chaves = 1.20 (league 1.17)

Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Oliveirense 0 15.1% 18.1% 10.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.4% 12.5% 7.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.6% 4.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.3% · Draw 30.5% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 5 , Vtod3