Segunda Liga
— Portugal
Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 18:00 •
Estadio Carlos Osorio
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.34)
1.21 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.7% | 30.3% | 48.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Chaves | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oliveirense | 0 | 15.1% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Oliveirense | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 55% | 36% |
| Defense | 45% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Oliveirense | Chaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| Wins | 43% | 0% | 25% | 17% | 57% | 38% |
| Draws | 43% | 60% | 50% | 67% | 14% | 38% |
| Loses | 14% | 40% | 25% | 17% | 29% | 23% |
Form: Oliveirense: DDWLDDDLWLDW • Chaves: DDDWDWWLLLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Oliveirense | Chaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Oliveirense | Chaves | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 58% | 77% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 31% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Oliveirense | Chaves | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Oliveirense | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Oliveirense | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Oliveirense | Chaves |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 38.3% | 61.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chaves and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Oliveirense = 0.68 (league 1.34), Chaves = 1.21 (league 1.16)
| Chaves | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Oliveirense | 0 | 15.1% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 48.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1