Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:00 • Estadio Municipal de Chaves
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.30) 0.77 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 23.4% 16.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 10.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChavesPortimonense
Played55
Form87%7%
Attack53%27%
Defense87%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chaves Portimonense
HATHAT
Played78158614
Wins29%63%47%13%33%21%
Draws57%13%33%38%0%21%
Loses14%25%20%50%67%57%

Form: Chaves: DDDWDWWLLLWDWWW • Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLLLL

League goals

Metric Chaves Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total613197916
GF avg0.91.61.30.91.51.1
GA total4711111526
GA avg0.60.90.71.42.51.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChavesPortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%53%79%100%
1.540%20%29%50%
2.57%0%7%21%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChavesPortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets347000
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricChavesPortimonense
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricChavesPortimonense
Wins21
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-12-3
Biggest losses0-12-10-24-1
Goals For2323
Goals Against1224

Model comparison

MetricChavesPortimonense
Form93%7%
Att67%33%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total72.0%28.0%

Advice: Double chance : Chaves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ 1xBet
Draw4.05 @ Pinnacle
Away5.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chaves = 1.73 (league 1.30), Portimonense = 0.77 (league 1.17)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 8.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.2% 10.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.4% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 23.4% · Away win 16.3%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1