Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.32) 0.27 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.4% 25.5% 6.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.8%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Pacos Ferreira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 17.7% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeirensePacos Ferreira
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack40%33%
Defense60%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feirense Pacos Ferreira
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins33%25%29%29%0%14%
Draws33%38%36%43%43%43%
Loses33%38%36%29%57%43%

Form: Feirense: DWLWDLLWLLDDDW • Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLWLDLL

League goals

Metric Feirense Pacos Ferreira
HATHAT
GF total791612315
GF avg1.21.11.11.70.41.1
GA total51116121123
GA avg0.81.41.11.71.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeirensePacos Ferreira
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%57%79%
1.536%36%29%57%
2.514%7%14%14%
3.57%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeirensePacos Ferreira
HATHAT
Clean sheets314123
Failed to score336156

Penalties

MetricFeirensePacos Ferreira
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFeirensePacos Ferreira
Wins11
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-34-1—
Biggest losses0-22-01-53-0
Goals For4342
Goals Against2353

Model comparison

MetricFeirensePacos Ferreira
Form60%40%
Att55%45%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total66.8%33.2%

Advice: Double chance : Feirense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ 888Sport
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away4.91 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.21 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Feirense = 1.46 (league 1.32), Pacos Ferreira = 0.27 (league 1.17)

Pacos Ferreira
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 17.7% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.8% 7.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 5.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.2% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 6.7%

Vtot 7 , Vtod2