Mon, Dec 22 2025 • 20:45 • Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.32) 0.55 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 31.2% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
0 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Oliveirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 17.6% 9.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitânia LourosaOliveirense
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack100%56%
Defense11%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Oliveirense
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins14%57%36%38%0%21%
Draws71%0%36%38%50%43%
Loses14%43%29%25%50%36%

Form: Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDLDWWW • Oliveirense: DDWLDDDLWLDWLL

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Oliveirense
HATHAT
GF total9132211314
GF avg1.31.91.61.40.51.0
GA total9132210717
GA avg1.31.91.61.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitânia LourosaOliveirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%64%64%
1.543%43%36%43%
2.514%21%0%14%
3.57%7%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitânia LourosaOliveirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112325
Failed to score112145

Penalties

MetricLusitânia LourosaOliveirense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLusitânia LourosaOliveirense
Wins11
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-52-0
Biggest losses1-24-00-22-0
Goals For3522
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricLusitânia LourosaOliveirense
Form71%29%
Att72%28%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h20%80%
Goals44%56%
Total54.3%45.7%

Advice: Double chance : Lusitânia Lourosa or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia Lourosa = 1.18 (league 1.32), Oliveirense = 0.55 (league 1.17)

Oliveirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 17.6% 9.8% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.8% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 17.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1