Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.31) 0.96 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 33.2% 37.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
16.6%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Torreense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 17.3% 16.6% 8.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenafielTorreense
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack50%67%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penafiel Torreense
HATHAT
Played69157714
Wins33%22%27%43%43%43%
Draws33%22%27%14%14%14%
Loses33%56%47%43%43%43%

Form: Penafiel: LDLLDWWLDWDLLWL • Torreense: LWWLDDWWWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Penafiel Torreense
HATHAT
GF total591491019
GF avg0.81.00.91.31.41.4
GA total511169918
GA avg0.81.21.11.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenafielTorreense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%57%71%
1.527%40%50%43%
2.57%7%29%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenafielTorreense
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score246336

Penalties

MetricPenafielTorreense
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricPenafielTorreense
Wins24
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-22-0
Goals For2333
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricPenafielTorreense
Form57%43%
Att43%57%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals27%73%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Torreense

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penafiel = 0.79 (league 1.31), Torreense = 0.96 (league 1.17)

Torreense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 17.3% 16.6% 8.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.2% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 37.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1