Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio de São Lúis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.32) 1.45 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 26.8% 55.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.2%
0 - 2
12.5%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 11.9% 17.2% 12.5% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.1% 11.7% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarenseUnião de Leiria
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack40%70%
Defense30%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins33%38%36%43%29%36%
Draws17%38%29%29%43%36%
Loses50%25%36%29%29%29%

Form: Farense: DLWLWLWDWDDLWL • União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLWWDDLL

League goals

Metric Farense União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total691511718
GF avg1.01.11.11.61.01.3
GA total1091911617
GA avg1.71.11.41.60.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarenseUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%64%71%79%
1.536%43%43%29%
2.57%29%14%14%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarenseUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets235213
Failed to score426134

Penalties

MetricFarenseUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFarenseUnião de Leiria
Wins12
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-21-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-31-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against3331

Model comparison

MetricFarenseUnião de Leiria
Form50%50%
Att36%64%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or União de Leiria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Betano
Away3.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 1xBet
No1.95 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Farense = 0.68 (league 1.32), União de Leiria = 1.45 (league 1.17)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 11.9% 17.2% 12.5% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.1% 11.7% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 2.8% 4.0% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 55.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1