Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio do Mar
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.36) 2.62 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.4% 15.6% 67.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
9.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 3
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leixoes 0 2.8% 7.3% 9.6% 8.4% 5.5% 2.9%
1 2.7% 7.0% 9.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.3% 3.4% 4.4% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeixoesChaves
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack60%40%
Defense0%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leixoes Chaves
HATHAT
Played65115510
Wins50%20%36%20%40%30%
Draws0%20%9%60%20%40%
Loses50%60%55%20%40%30%

Form: Leixoes: WDWLLLLWLLW • Chaves: DDDWDWWLLL

League goals

Metric Leixoes Chaves
HATHAT
GF total85134711
GF avg1.31.01.20.81.41.1
GA total13922459
GA avg2.21.82.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeixoesChaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%80%70%
1.527%64%30%20%
2.527%27%0%0%
3.50%18%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeixoesChaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricLeixoesChaves
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLeixoesChaves
Wins12
Draws13
Losses40

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-31-00-2
Biggest losses1-53-10-12-1
Goals For3312
Goals Against5312

Model comparison

MetricLeixoesChaves
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.8%56.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Chaves

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.37 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Leixoes = 0.96 (league 1.36), Chaves = 2.62 (league 1.18)

Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leixoes 0 2.8% 7.3% 9.6% 8.4% 5.5% 2.9%
1 2.7% 7.0% 9.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.7%
2 1.3% 3.4% 4.4% 3.8% 2.5% 1.3%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.4% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 67.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod5