Sun, Dec 28 2025 • 14:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.32) 1.60 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 24.1% 41.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Farense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraFarense
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack43%57%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Farense
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins29%13%20%29%38%33%
Draws43%38%40%14%38%27%
Loses29%50%40%57%25%40%

Form: Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLWLDLLW • Farense: DLWLWLWDWDDLWLL

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Farense
HATHAT
GF total124166915
GF avg1.70.51.10.91.11.0
GA total12112311920
GA avg1.71.41.51.61.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraFarense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%73%53%67%
1.527%53%33%40%
2.513%13%7%27%
3.57%7%7%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraFarense
HATHAT
Clean sheets134235
Failed to score156527

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraFarense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraFarense
Wins11
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-12-00-2
Biggest losses1-53-00-33-0
Goals For4242
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraFarense
Form50%50%
Att43%57%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h64%36%
Goals50%50%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Pacos Ferreira or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.12 @ SBO

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ SBO
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pacos Ferreira = 1.42 (league 1.32), Farense = 1.60 (league 1.17)

Farense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 41.3%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1