Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 20:15 • Estadio Manuel Marques
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.31) 2.12 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.0% 20.6% 42.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torreense 0 1.8% 3.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
1 3.4% 7.3% 7.7% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.2% 6.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTorreenseLusitânia Lourosa
Played55
Form0%67%
Attack33%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Torreense Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%38%40%13%57%33%
Draws14%13%13%63%0%33%
Loses43%50%47%25%43%33%

Form: Torreense: LWWLDDWWWWLLLLL • Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Torreense Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
GF total9101991322
GF avg1.31.31.31.11.91.5
GA total91019101323
GA avg1.31.31.31.31.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTorreenseLusitânia Lourosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%73%80%87%
1.547%40%40%40%
2.527%13%13%20%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTorreenseLusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score347213

Penalties

MetricTorreenseLusitânia Lourosa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTorreenseLusitânia Lourosa
Wins43
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-21-5
Biggest losses0-22-01-24-0
Goals For3335
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricTorreenseLusitânia Lourosa
Form0%100%
Att15%85%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total34.7%65.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitânia Lourosa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.14 @ Pinnacle
Away3.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Torreense = 1.88 (league 1.31), Lusitânia Lourosa = 2.12 (league 1.17)

Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Torreense 0 1.8% 3.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6%
1 3.4% 7.3% 7.7% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.2% 6.9% 7.3% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.0% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 42.1%

Vtot 8 , Vtod4