Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Estadio Municipal de Chaves
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.18 (league 1.32) 0.86 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.5% 40.9% 51.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
35.2%
0 - 1
30.4%
0 - 2
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 35.2% 30.4% 13.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
1 6.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChavesMaritimo
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack54%85%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chaves Maritimo
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins25%63%44%44%86%63%
Draws50%13%31%33%0%19%
Loses25%25%25%22%14%19%

Form: Chaves: DDDWDWWLLLWDWWWL • Maritimo: LWWWDWDLLWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Chaves Maritimo
HATHAT
GF total61319121224
GF avg0.81.61.21.31.71.5
GA total57129211
GA avg0.60.90.81.00.30.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChavesMaritimo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%56%88%50%
1.538%19%50%13%
2.56%0%6%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChavesMaritimo
HATHAT
Clean sheets347358
Failed to score314112

Penalties

MetricChavesMaritimo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricChavesMaritimo
Wins35
Draws31
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-12-11-31-0
Goals For2324
Goals Against1231

Model comparison

MetricChavesMaritimo
Form43%57%
Att39%61%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Chaves or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away2.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ SBO
Under 2.51.78 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chaves = 0.18 (league 1.32), Maritimo = 0.86 (league 1.18)

Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 35.2% 30.4% 13.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1%
1 6.4% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.5% · Draw 40.9% · Away win 51.5%

vtt 14 , vtd1