Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.32) 0.77 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 38.4% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.2%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 25.2% 19.4% 7.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeirenseUnião de Leiria
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack67%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feirense União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins29%25%27%43%38%40%
Draws29%38%33%29%38%33%
Loses43%38%40%29%25%27%

Form: Feirense: DWLWDLLWLLDDDWL • União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLWWDDLLW

League goals

Metric Feirense União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total791611819
GF avg1.01.11.11.61.01.3
GA total6111711617
GA avg0.91.41.11.60.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeirenseUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%73%73%73%
1.533%33%40%27%
2.513%7%13%13%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeirenseUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score437134

Penalties

MetricFeirenseUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricFeirenseUnião de Leiria
Wins12
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-33-21-3
Biggest losses0-22-01-31-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricFeirenseUnião de Leiria
Form55%45%
Att40%60%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Feirense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.93 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Feirense = 0.61 (league 1.32), União de Leiria = 0.77 (league 1.17)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 25.2% 19.4% 7.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 38.4% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1