Thu, Jan 8 2026 • 20:15 • Estádio do Lusitânia FC
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.32) 1.10 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.9% 26.5% 29.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 8.1% 8.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.6% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 8.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLusitânia LourosaLeixoes
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack100%50%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Leixoes
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins13%63%38%33%29%31%
Draws63%0%31%0%14%6%
Loses25%38%31%67%57%63%

Form: Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDLDWWWLW • Leixoes: WDWLLLLWLLWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Lusitânia Lourosa Leixoes
HATHAT
GF total9142311718
GF avg1.11.81.41.21.01.1
GA total101323221234
GA avg1.31.61.42.41.72.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLusitânia LourosaLeixoes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%81%63%88%
1.538%38%31%63%
2.513%19%19%31%
3.56%6%0%25%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLusitânia LourosaLeixoes
HATHAT
Clean sheets123202
Failed to score213336

Penalties

MetricLusitânia LourosaLeixoes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLusitânia LourosaLeixoes
Wins31
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-53-01-3
Biggest losses1-24-01-53-1
Goals For3533
Goals Against2453

Model comparison

MetricLusitânia LourosaLeixoes
Form80%20%
Att69%31%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h20%80%
Goals43%57%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lusitânia Lourosa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Dafabet
Away4.00 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.71 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lusitânia Lourosa = 1.42 (league 1.32), Leixoes = 1.10 (league 1.18)

Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lusitânia Lourosa 0 8.1% 8.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 12.6% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.1% 8.9% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.8% 4.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 29.2%

vtt 5 , vtd1