Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 20:30 • Estádio de São Lúis
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.32) 1.92 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 22.2% 47.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.6%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 3.5% 6.7% 6.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarensePortimonense
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack44%44%
Defense11%11%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense Portimonense
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins29%38%33%13%43%27%
Draws14%38%27%38%0%20%
Loses57%25%40%50%57%53%

Form: Farense: DLWLWLWDWDDLWLL • Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLLLLW

League goals

Metric Farense Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total691571017
GF avg0.91.11.00.91.41.1
GA total11920111526
GA avg1.61.11.31.42.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarensePortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%67%80%93%
1.533%40%27%47%
2.57%27%7%20%
3.57%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarensePortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets235011
Failed to score527213

Penalties

MetricFarensePortimonense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFarensePortimonense
Wins11
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-22-12-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-24-1
Goals For4223
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricFarensePortimonense
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total46.2%54.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Portimonense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Farense = 1.44 (league 1.32), Portimonense = 1.92 (league 1.17)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 3.5% 6.7% 6.4% 4.1% 2.0% 0.8%
1 5.0% 9.6% 9.2% 5.9% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 6.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.0% 0.8%
3 1.7% 3.3% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.6% 1.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 47.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1