Fri, Jan 16 2026 • 18:00 • Estádio Municipal do Fontelo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.32) 0.84 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.1% 29.4% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academico Viseu 0 12.6% 10.6% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcademico ViseuUnião de Leiria
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack33%39%
Defense83%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Academico Viseu União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played89177916
Wins63%33%47%43%33%38%
Draws13%44%29%29%44%38%
Loses25%22%24%29%22%25%

Form: Academico Viseu: LDLWDLDWWWWWDWDLW • União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLWWDDLLWD

League goals

Metric Academico Viseu União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total141731111021
GF avg1.81.91.81.61.11.3
GA total7121911819
GA avg0.91.31.11.60.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcademico ViseuUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%59%75%75%
1.565%41%44%31%
2.524%12%13%13%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcademico ViseuUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets527224
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricAcademico ViseuUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAcademico ViseuUnião de Leiria
Wins52
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-21-3
Biggest losses2-33-21-31-0
Goals For3533
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAcademico ViseuUnião de Leiria
Form62%38%
Att46%54%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Academico Viseu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Unibet
Draw3.45 @ Pinnacle
Away4.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.89 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Academico Viseu = 1.23 (league 1.32), União de Leiria = 0.84 (league 1.18)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Academico Viseu 0 12.6% 10.6% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.5% 13.0% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.5% 8.0% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 25.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1