Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal de Chaves
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.32) 1.37 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 26.9% 43.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 8.5% 11.7% 8.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChavesLusitânia Lourosa
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack47%53%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chaves Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins22%56%39%10%63%33%
Draws44%11%28%60%0%33%
Loses33%33%33%30%38%33%

Form: Chaves: DDDWDWWLLLWDWWWLLL • Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDLDWWWLWDL

League goals

Metric Chaves Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
GF total81321111425
GF avg0.91.41.21.11.81.4
GA total8816161329
GA avg0.90.90.91.61.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChavesLusitânia Lourosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%61%78%83%
1.539%22%39%44%
2.56%6%11%22%
3.50%0%6%11%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChavesLusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets347123
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricChavesLusitânia Lourosa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricChavesLusitânia Lourosa
Wins33
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-21-5
Biggest losses2-32-10-44-0
Goals For2335
Goals Against3244

Model comparison

MetricChavesLusitânia Lourosa
Form46%54%
Att47%53%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Chaves or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.99 @ Dafabet
Draw3.37 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.86 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chaves = 1.09 (league 1.32), Lusitânia Lourosa = 1.37 (league 1.18)

Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 8.5% 11.7% 8.0% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.1% 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 43.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1