Fri, Jan 23 2026 • 18:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.32) 2.42 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 19.0% 54.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
7.3%
1 - 3
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Academico Viseu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 2.0% 4.9% 5.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.4%
1 3.0% 7.3% 8.8% 7.1% 4.3% 2.1%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.5% 5.2% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraAcademico Viseu
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack31%62%
Defense31%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Academico Viseu
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins25%20%22%67%33%50%
Draws50%30%39%11%44%28%
Loses25%50%39%22%22%22%

Form: Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLWLDLLWDWL • Academico Viseu: LDLWDLDWWWWWDWDLWW

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Academico Viseu
HATHAT
GF total12618161733
GF avg1.50.61.01.81.91.8
GA total12152771219
GA avg1.51.51.50.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraAcademico Viseu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%72%83%56%
1.528%50%67%39%
2.511%17%22%11%
3.56%6%6%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraAcademico Viseu
HATHAT
Clean sheets235628
Failed to score268123

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraAcademico Viseu
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraAcademico Viseu
Wins15
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-01-5
Biggest losses1-53-02-33-2
Goals For4235
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraAcademico Viseu
Form41%59%
Att33%67%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Academico Viseu

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away1.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.75 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pacos Ferreira = 1.48 (league 1.32), Academico Viseu = 2.42 (league 1.18)

Academico Viseu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 2.0% 4.9% 5.9% 4.8% 2.9% 1.4%
1 3.0% 7.3% 8.8% 7.1% 4.3% 2.1%
2 2.2% 5.4% 6.5% 5.2% 3.2% 1.5%
3 1.1% 2.6% 3.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 54.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1