Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.34) 1.81 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.6% 20.2% 72.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.7%
0 - 2
18.7%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 11.5% 20.7% 18.7% 11.3% 5.1% 1.8%
1 4.1% 7.4% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
2 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeirenseMaritimo
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack82%100%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.813 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

4 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feirense Maritimo
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%40%37%40%89%63%
Draws33%30%32%40%0%21%
Loses33%30%32%20%11%16%

Form: Feirense: DWLWDLLWLLDDDWLDWWW • Maritimo: LWWWDWDLLWWWWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Feirense Maritimo
HATHAT
GF total111425131932
GF avg1.21.41.31.32.11.7
GA total9142310414
GA avg1.01.41.21.00.40.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeirenseMaritimo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%74%89%53%
1.542%37%53%16%
2.516%11%16%5%
3.511%0%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeirenseMaritimo
HATHAT
Clean sheets325369
Failed to score437112

Penalties

MetricFeirenseMaritimo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFeirenseMaritimo
Wins15
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-13-42-00-4
Biggest losses0-22-01-31-0
Goals For4424
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricFeirenseMaritimo
Form48%52%
Att41%59%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total36.7%63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maritimo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Dafabet
Away2.23 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Feirense = 0.36 (league 1.34), Maritimo = 1.81 (league 1.16)

Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 11.5% 20.7% 18.7% 11.3% 5.1% 1.8%
1 4.1% 7.4% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
2 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.6% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 72.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1