Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 14:00 • Estádio do Marítimo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.34) 0.86 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.9% 31.3% 28.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Farense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritimo 0 14.5% 12.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.4% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaritimoFarense
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack100%27%
Defense55%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maritimo Farense
HATHAT
Played101020101020
Wins40%80%60%20%30%25%
Draws40%10%25%20%40%30%
Loses20%10%15%60%30%45%

Form: Maritimo: LWWWDWDLLWWWWWDWWWDD • Farense: DLWLWLWDWDDLWLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Maritimo Farense
HATHAT
GF total13203381018
GF avg1.32.01.70.81.00.9
GA total10515151126
GA avg1.00.50.81.51.11.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaritimoFarense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%55%50%65%
1.550%15%30%40%
2.515%5%5%25%
3.510%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaritimoFarense
HATHAT
Clean sheets369347
Failed to score1127310

Penalties

MetricMaritimoFarense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMaritimoFarense
Wins51
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-42-00-2
Biggest losses1-31-00-33-0
Goals For2442
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricMaritimoFarense
Form85%15%
Att81%19%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total60.5%39.5%

Advice: Double chance : Maritimo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away5.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maritimo = 1.07 (league 1.34), Farense = 0.86 (league 1.16)

Farense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritimo 0 14.5% 12.5% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.5% 13.4% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 7.2% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.9% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 28.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1