Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 20:15 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.34) 1.45 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.0% 26.3% 45.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 1
11.6%
1 - 2
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sporting CP B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 8.0% 11.6% 8.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraSporting CP B
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack38%46%
Defense62%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Sporting CP B
HATHAT
Played91019101020
Wins33%20%26%60%40%50%
Draws44%30%37%0%20%10%
Loses22%50%37%40%40%40%

Form: Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLWLDLLWDWLW • Sporting CP B: WWLWWLWWWDDWWLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Sporting CP B
HATHAT
GF total14620181230
GF avg1.60.61.11.81.21.5
GA total1315289918
GA avg1.41.51.50.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraSporting CP B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%74%75%60%
1.532%47%40%25%
2.511%16%25%5%
3.55%5%10%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraSporting CP B
HATHAT
Clean sheets235448
Failed to score268235

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraSporting CP B
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraSporting CP B
Wins13
Draws32
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-24-00-4
Biggest losses1-53-01-23-1
Goals For4244
Goals Against5323

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraSporting CP B
Form77%23%
Att45%55%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total57.3%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pacos Ferreira or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 888Sport
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pacos Ferreira = 1.08 (league 1.34), Sporting CP B = 1.45 (league 1.16)

Sporting CP B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 8.0% 11.6% 8.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.6% 6.7% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
3 1.7% 2.4% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.0% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 45.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1