Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.34) 1.12 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 31.0% 42.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 14.5% 16.3% 9.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeirenseChaves
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack60%27%
Defense53%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feirense Chaves
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins30%36%33%18%50%33%
Draws40%27%33%45%10%29%
Loses30%36%33%36%40%38%

Form: Feirense: DWLWDLLWLLDDDWLDWWWDL • Chaves: DDDWDWWLLLWDWWWLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Feirense Chaves
HATHAT
GF total121527101323
GF avg1.21.41.30.91.31.1
GA total10162611920
GA avg1.01.51.21.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeirenseChaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%76%67%67%
1.538%38%38%24%
2.514%10%5%5%
3.510%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeirenseChaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets325347
Failed to score437437

Penalties

MetricFeirenseChaves
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricFeirenseChaves
Wins33
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-13-42-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-02-32-1
Goals For4423
Goals Against2332

Model comparison

MetricFeirenseChaves
Form91%9%
Att69%31%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Feirense or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Feirense = 0.81 (league 1.34), Chaves = 1.12 (league 1.16)

Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 14.5% 16.3% 9.1% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.7% 13.2% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.7% 5.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 42.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1