Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 11:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.33) 1.67 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 24.2% 48.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
0 - 1
9.8%
1 - 2
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Torreense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 5.9% 9.8% 8.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.6%
1 6.9% 11.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
2 4.0% 6.6% 5.5% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.5% 2.6% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraTorreense
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack22%44%
Defense56%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Torreense
HATHAT
Played101020101121
Wins30%20%25%50%45%48%
Draws40%30%35%10%9%10%
Loses30%50%40%40%45%43%
Pacos FerreiraLDDLDDDWLWLDLLWDWLWL
TorreenseLWWLDDWWWWLLLLLLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Torreense
HATHAT
GF total14620141327
GF avg1.40.61.01.41.21.3
GA total161531121224
GA avg1.61.51.61.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraTorreense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%75%57%76%
1.530%50%48%29%
2.510%20%24%10%
3.55%5%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraTorreense
HATHAT
Clean sheets235235
Failed to score369459

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraTorreense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraTorreense
Wins14
Draws32
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-10-3
Biggest losses1-53-00-22-0
Goals For4233
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraTorreense
Form37%63%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total45.5%54.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.12 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away2.11 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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