Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:30 • Estádio de São Lúis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.34) 1.29 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 28.7% 46.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.4%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 11.9% 15.4% 9.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarenseLeixoes
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack31%38%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 7 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense Leixoes
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins20%36%29%36%30%33%
Draws20%36%29%9%30%19%
Loses60%27%43%55%40%48%

Form: Farense: DLWLWLWDWDDLWLLDLDLLW • Leixoes: WDWLLLLWLLWLLLWLDWDDW

League goals

Metric Farense Leixoes
HATHAT
GF total81119131023
GF avg0.81.00.91.21.01.1
GA total151126231437
GA avg1.51.01.22.11.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarenseLeixoes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%62%62%76%
1.529%38%33%52%
2.55%24%14%24%
3.55%0%0%19%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarenseLeixoes
HATHAT
Clean sheets358325
Failed to score7310448

Penalties

MetricFarenseLeixoes
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFarenseLeixoes
Wins11
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-01-53-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricFarenseLeixoes
Form31%69%
Att44%56%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h60%40%
Goals56%44%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Leixoes and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Farense = 0.84 (league 1.34), Leixoes = 1.29 (league 1.16)

Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 11.9% 15.4% 9.9% 4.3% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.0% 12.9% 8.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.2% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 46.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1