Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Marcolino de Castro
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.31) 0.78 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.5% 24.3% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.6%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Felgueiras 1932
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 8.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.3% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeirenseFelgueiras 1932
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack40%50%
Defense60%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feirense Felgueiras 1932
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%33%35%50%9%30%
Draws36%25%30%17%45%30%
Loses27%42%35%33%45%39%

Form: Feirense: DWLWDLLWLLDDDWLDWWWDLWL • Felgueiras 1932: LLDWWLWDLLDDLWWWDLDWLLD

League goals

Metric Feirense Felgueiras 1932
HATHAT
GF total131528131124
GF avg1.21.31.21.11.01.0
GA total101727102030
GA avg0.91.41.20.81.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeirenseFelgueiras 1932
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%74%65%74%
1.535%35%30%39%
2.513%9%9%13%
3.59%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeirenseFelgueiras 1932
HATHAT
Clean sheets426516
Failed to score448448

Penalties

MetricFeirenseFelgueiras 1932
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricFeirenseFelgueiras 1932
Wins33
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-13-43-12-3
Biggest losses0-22-01-33-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricFeirenseFelgueiras 1932
Form58%42%
Att44%56%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals43%57%
Total54.7%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Feirense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away3.28 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.53 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.61 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.12 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Feirense = 1.65 (league 1.31), Felgueiras 1932 = 0.78 (league 1.16)

Felgueiras 1932
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feirense 0 8.8% 6.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 14.6% 11.3% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.3% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 17.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1