Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 18:00 • Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.43 (league 1.34) 2.06 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 19.2% 32.0%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
2 - 1
6.8%
1 - 2
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
União de Leiria 0 1.1% 2.3% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%
1 2.7% 5.6% 5.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8%
2 3.3% 6.8% 7.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.5% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnião de LeiriaPortimonense
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack100%45%
Defense9%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric União de Leiria Portimonense
HATHAT
Played101222121123
Wins40%33%36%8%45%26%
Draws40%33%36%42%9%26%
Loses20%33%27%50%45%48%

Form: União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLWWDDLLWDLDWLDW • Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLLLLWWDWLDDLL

League goals

Metric União de Leiria Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total18153381725
GF avg1.81.31.50.71.51.1
GA total161531142034
GA avg1.61.31.41.21.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnião de LeiriaPortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%82%74%83%
1.550%45%26%35%
2.518%14%9%17%
3.55%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnião de LeiriaPortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets224134
Failed to score145516

Penalties

MetricUnião de LeiriaPortimonense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricUnião de LeiriaPortimonense
Wins22
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-42-10-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-24-1
Goals For3423
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricUnião de LeiriaPortimonense
Form80%20%
Att71%29%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : União de Leiria or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.82 @ SBO
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away4.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): União de Leiria = 2.43 (league 1.34), Portimonense = 2.06 (league 1.16)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
União de Leiria 0 1.1% 2.3% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%
1 2.7% 5.6% 5.8% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8%
2 3.3% 6.8% 7.0% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0%
3 2.7% 5.5% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.6% 3.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.5%
5 0.8% 1.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 32.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1