Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 15:30 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.34) 0.64 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.3% 29.6% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 0
14.8%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Oliveirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 14.8% 9.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 7.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraOliveirense
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack18%73%
Defense27%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Oliveirense
HATHAT
Played111122121123
Wins27%18%23%42%9%26%
Draws45%27%36%25%36%30%
Loses27%55%41%33%55%43%

Form: Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLWLDLLWDWLWLDL • Oliveirense: DDWLDDDLWLDWLLWLLDWLWLL

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Oliveirense
HATHAT
GF total1462021526
GF avg1.30.50.91.80.51.1
GA total161632191433
GA avg1.51.51.51.61.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraOliveirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%73%65%65%
1.527%45%39%43%
2.59%18%9%22%
3.55%5%0%13%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraOliveirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets336448
Failed to score4711178

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraOliveirense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraOliveirense
Wins11
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-53-02-44-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against5344

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraOliveirense
Form40%60%
Att20%80%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals63%38%
Total52.2%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Pacos Ferreira or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.05 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.80 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.05 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pacos Ferreira = 1.27 (league 1.34), Oliveirense = 0.64 (league 1.16)

Oliveirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 14.8% 9.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.9% 7.6% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 6 , vtd1