Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.34) 0.89 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 34.3% 36.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
16.8%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 18.8% 16.8% 7.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.1% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPenafielBenfica B
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack36%55%
Defense82%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Penafiel Benfica B
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins36%25%30%42%18%30%
Draws27%25%26%25%55%39%
Loses36%50%43%33%27%30%

Form: Penafiel: LDLLDWWLDWDLLWLWLLLDWWD • Benfica B: DDDLLDLWWLLDWDWWDWDLDWL

League goals

Metric Penafiel Benfica B
HATHAT
GF total91120181432
GF avg0.80.90.91.51.31.4
GA total91322161430
GA avg0.81.11.01.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePenafielBenfica B
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%52%87%78%
1.522%39%35%39%
2.54%4%13%9%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPenafielBenfica B
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511325
Failed to score459123

Penalties

MetricPenafielBenfica B
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricPenafielBenfica B
Wins22
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-22-00-24-3
Goals For2343
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricPenafielBenfica B
Form62%38%
Att40%60%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Penafiel or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.00 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away2.45 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.09 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.87 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.07 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Penafiel = 0.78 (league 1.34), Benfica B = 0.89 (league 1.16)

Benfica B
0 1 2 3 4 5
Penafiel 0 18.8% 16.8% 7.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.6% 13.1% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 5.7% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 36.1%

vtt 7 , vtd1