Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 11:00 • Estádio de São Lúis
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.34) 2.06 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.6% 20.4% 61.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.4%
0 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 4.9% 10.0% 10.4% 7.1% 3.7% 1.5%
1 4.7% 9.6% 9.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.2% 4.6% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFarenseLusitânia Lourosa
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack45%64%
Defense18%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Farense Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins18%33%26%25%55%39%
Draws18%33%26%50%9%30%
Loses64%33%48%25%36%30%

Form: Farense: DLWLWLWDWDDLWLLDLDLLWLL • Lusitânia Lourosa: WDDLDWLLDLDWWWLWDLDWWLW

League goals

Metric Farense Lusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
GF total91120141832
GF avg0.80.90.91.21.61.4
GA total171330171835
GA avg1.51.11.31.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFarenseLusitânia Lourosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%65%78%83%
1.526%43%43%43%
2.54%22%9%17%
3.54%0%4%9%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFarenseLusitânia Lourosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets358224
Failed to score7411325

Penalties

MetricFarenseLusitânia Lourosa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFarenseLusitânia Lourosa
Wins13
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-21-5
Biggest losses0-33-00-44-0
Goals For4235
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricFarenseLusitânia Lourosa
Form23%77%
Att42%58%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lusitânia Lourosa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 188Bet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Farense = 0.96 (league 1.34), Lusitânia Lourosa = 2.06 (league 1.16)

Lusitânia Lourosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Farense 0 4.9% 10.0% 10.4% 7.1% 3.7% 1.5%
1 4.7% 9.6% 9.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.5%
2 2.2% 4.6% 4.8% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.6% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 61.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1