Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 11:00 • CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.34) 1.04 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.6% 20.4% 17.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.9%
2 - 0
9.5%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP B 0 4.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CP BLeixoes
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP B Leixoes
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins64%42%52%33%36%35%
Draws0%17%9%8%27%17%
Loses36%42%39%58%36%48%

Form: Sporting CP B: WWLWWLWWWDDWWLLLLLLWWWL • Leixoes: WDWLLLLWLLWLLLWLDWDDWWL

League goals

Metric Sporting CP B Leixoes
HATHAT
GF total221537141226
GF avg2.01.31.61.21.11.1
GA total121022251540
GA avg1.10.81.02.11.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CP BLeixoes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%61%65%78%
1.543%26%35%52%
2.530%9%13%22%
3.513%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CP BLeixoes
HATHAT
Clean sheets459325
Failed to score246448

Penalties

MetricSporting CP BLeixoes
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSporting CP BLeixoes
Wins32
Draws22
Losses64

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-01-3
Biggest losses1-23-11-53-1
Goals For4433
Goals Against3353

Model comparison

MetricSporting CP BLeixoes
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total63.3%36.7%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting CP B or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away3.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP B = 2.10 (league 1.34), Leixoes = 1.04 (league 1.16)

Leixoes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP B 0 4.3% 4.5% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.1% 9.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.9% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 6.7% 6.9% 3.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 3.5% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.6% · Draw 20.4% · Away win 17.9%

vtt 2 , vtd1