Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal de Chaves
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.32) 1.04 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.9% 31.3% 37.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 14.3% 14.8% 7.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChavesUnião de Leiria
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack50%100%
Defense67%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chaves União de Leiria
HATHAT
Played131326121325
Wins31%46%38%42%38%40%
Draws38%8%23%33%31%32%
Loses31%46%38%25%31%28%

Form: Chaves: DDDWDWWLLLWDWWWLLLDLLLWLWW • União de Leiria: WLDWWDDLWWDDLLWDLDWLDWWWL

League goals

Metric Chaves União de Leiria
HATHAT
GF total131629201939
GF avg1.01.21.11.71.51.6
GA total111324181634
GA avg0.81.00.91.51.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChavesUnião de Leiria
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%62%80%80%
1.538%23%48%44%
2.54%8%20%12%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChavesUnião de Leiria
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510325
Failed to score448145

Penalties

MetricChavesUnião de Leiria
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricChavesUnião de Leiria
Wins33
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-23-11-4
Biggest losses2-33-21-33-1
Goals For2334
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricChavesUnião de Leiria
Form47%53%
Att33%67%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h13%88%
Goals29%71%
Total39.0%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or União de Leiria

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chaves = 0.91 (league 1.32), União de Leiria = 1.04 (league 1.16)

União de Leiria
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chaves 0 14.3% 14.8% 7.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.9% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.9% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 37.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1