Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 13:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.32) 2.08 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.2% 18.8% 69.1%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.3%
0 - 1
13.8%
0 - 3
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 6.7% 13.8% 14.3% 9.9% 5.1% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.8% 9.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.3% 2.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack43%50%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Maritimo
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%21%26%50%77%63%
Draws46%21%33%29%8%19%
Loses23%57%41%21%15%19%

Form: Pacos Ferreira: LDDLDDDWLWLDLLWDWLWLDLDWWLL • Maritimo: LWWWDWDLLWWWWWDWWWDDLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Maritimo
HATHAT
GF total151126172643
GF avg1.20.81.01.22.01.6
GA total16233912921
GA avg1.21.61.40.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraMaritimo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%70%89%56%
1.530%48%48%15%
2.511%19%15%7%
3.54%4%7%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5385712
Failed to score5813213

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
Wins25
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-32-00-4
Biggest losses1-53-01-33-1
Goals For4324
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
Form37%63%
Att46%54%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total30.7%69.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maritimo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away1.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pacos Ferreira = 0.64 (league 1.32), Maritimo = 2.08 (league 1.16)

Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 6.7% 13.8% 14.3% 9.9% 5.1% 2.1%
1 4.2% 8.8% 9.1% 6.3% 3.3% 1.4%
2 1.3% 2.8% 2.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.2% · Draw 18.8% · Away win 69.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1