Sat, Apr 4 2026 • 13:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.33) 2.11 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.9% 18.4% 69.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.4%
0 - 1
13.6%
0 - 3
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Maritimo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 6.5% 13.6% 14.4% 10.1% 5.3% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.6% 9.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.4%
2 1.3% 2.7% 2.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack60%70%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Maritimo
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins31%21%26%50%77%63%
Draws46%21%33%29%8%19%
Loses23%57%41%21%15%19%
Pacos FerreiraLDDLDDDWLWLDLLWDWLWLDLDWWLL
MaritimoLWWWDWDLLWWWWWDWWWDDLWWLWWW

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Maritimo
HATHAT
GF total151126172643
GF avg1.20.81.01.22.01.6
GA total16233912921
GA avg1.21.61.40.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraMaritimo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%70%89%56%
1.530%48%48%15%
2.511%19%15%7%
3.54%4%7%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5385712
Failed to score5813213

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
Wins25
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-32-00-4
Biggest losses1-53-01-33-1
Goals For4324
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraMaritimo
Form37%63%
Att46%54%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total30.8%69.2%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.43 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Dafabet
Away1.87 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ SBO
Under 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.91 @ Unibet
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League standings

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