Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 • Estádio do Marítimo
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.31) 1.09 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 26.1% 28.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
11.3%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritimo 0 7.7% 8.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaritimoPortimonense
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack67%67%
Defense44%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maritimo Portimonense
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins50%71%61%14%43%29%
Draws29%14%21%36%7%21%
Loses21%14%18%50%50%50%

Form: Maritimo: LWWWDWDLLWWWWWDWWWDDLWWLWWWD • Portimonense: WLDWLWDLLDLLLLWWDWLDDLLLLLWW

League goals

Metric Maritimo Portimonense
HATHAT
GF total172643121931
GF avg1.21.91.50.91.41.1
GA total12921182341
GA avg0.90.60.81.31.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaritimoPortimonense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%54%71%86%
1.546%14%32%32%
2.514%7%7%18%
3.57%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaritimoPortimonense
HATHAT
Clean sheets5813134
Failed to score224538

Penalties

MetricMaritimoPortimonense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricMaritimoPortimonense
Wins52
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-42-10-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-24-1
Goals For2423
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricMaritimoPortimonense
Form63%38%
Att50%50%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Maritimo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.48 @ 1xBet
Draw4.38 @ Pinnacle
Away6.47 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maritimo = 1.47 (league 1.31), Portimonense = 1.09 (league 1.15)

Portimonense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maritimo 0 7.7% 8.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.4% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.1% 4.5% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 28.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1