Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 10:00 • Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.33) 1.05 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.8% 31.1% 38.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.8%
0 - 0
14.0%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Chaves
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pacos Ferreira 0 14.0% 14.8% 7.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.8% 13.5% 7.1% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
2 5.8% 6.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPacos FerreiraChaves
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack33%44%
Defense44%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3-5
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pacos Ferreira Chaves
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins29%20%24%33%43%38%
Draws50%27%38%33%7%21%
Loses21%53%38%33%50%41%
Pacos FerreiraLDDLDDDWLWLDLLWDWLWLDLDWWLLDD
ChavesDDDWDWWLLLWDWWWLLLDLLLWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Pacos Ferreira Chaves
HATHAT
GF total151126151631
GF avg1.10.70.91.01.11.1
GA total162339131629
GA avg1.11.51.30.91.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePacos FerreiraChaves
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%66%66%62%
1.528%45%38%28%
2.510%17%3%10%
3.53%3%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPacos FerreiraChaves
HATHAT
Clean sheets64106511
Failed to score69155510

Penalties

MetricPacos FerreiraChaves
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPacos FerreiraChaves
Wins23
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-53-00-23-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against5333

Model comparison

MetricPacos FerreiraChaves
Form36%64%
Att43%57%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total40.0%60.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.83 @ William Hill
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League standings

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