Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 10:00 •
Estádio do Lusitânia FC
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.33)
0.86 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.9% | 29.2% | 25.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Pacos Ferreira | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lusitânia Lourosa | 0 | 12.2% | 10.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.1% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lusitânia Lourosa | Pacos Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 67% | 67% |
| Defense | 0% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lusitânia Lourosa | Pacos Ferreira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 27% | 40% | 33% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Draws | 47% | 13% | 30% | 47% | 27% | 37% |
| Loses | 27% | 47% | 37% | 20% | 53% | 37% |
Lusitânia LourosaWDDLDWLLDLDWWWLWDLDWWLWLWLLDDL
Pacos FerreiraLDDLDDDWLWLDLLWDWLWLDLDWWLLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Lusitânia Lourosa | Pacos Ferreira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 24 | 40 | 19 | 11 | 30 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 21 | 27 | 48 | 19 | 23 | 42 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lusitânia Lourosa | Pacos Ferreira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 80% | 50% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 47% | 30% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 23% | 13% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 10% | 7% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lusitânia Lourosa | Pacos Ferreira | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lusitânia Lourosa | Pacos Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lusitânia Lourosa | Pacos Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lusitânia Lourosa | Pacos Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 78% | 22% |
| Total | 51.6% | 48.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away3.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ Unibet
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League standings
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