Segunda Liga
— Portugal
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 13:00 •
Estádio Do Vizela
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.33)
1.36 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.0% | 27.3% | 44.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
12.6%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sporting CP B | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vizela | 0 | 9.2% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home strong edge
Vizela carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 86 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Vizela -23.5, Sporting CP B -39.1.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Vizela
vs
Sporting CP B
Elo gapVizela +86
Home / draw / away49% / 20% / 31%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo3010.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3010.9
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Vizela | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1530.9 | 1480 |
| Form Elo | 1519.4 | 1452 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1505.5 | 1501.7 |
| Attack Elo | 1516.2 | 1517 |
| Defense Elo | 1536.9 | 1575.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -23.5 | -39.1 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Vizela last-5 Elo change: -23.5; Sporting CP B last-5 Elo change: -39.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vizela | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 43% | 29% |
| Defense | 43% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vizela | Sporting CP B | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 47% | 40% | 43% |
| Draws | 27% | 27% | 27% | 0% | 13% | 7% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 53% | 47% | 50% |
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Sporting CP BWWLWWLWWWDDWWLLLLLLWWWLLLLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Vizela | Sporting CP B | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 14 | 37 | 23 | 18 | 41 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 20 | 16 | 36 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vizela | Sporting CP B | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 73% | 67% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 37% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 23% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vizela | Sporting CP B | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vizela | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vizela | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vizela | Sporting CP B |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.88 @ Unibet
Draw3.64 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.90 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.10 @ Betfair
📊
League standings
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