1. Lig — Turkey
Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 17:00 • Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.57) 1.44 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.9% 18.2% 20.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
3 - 1
7.3%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sivasspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sakaryaspor 0 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.2% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSakaryasporSivasspor
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack55%82%
Defense0%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sakaryaspor Sivasspor
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins67%0%29%67%0%29%
Draws0%50%29%33%25%29%
Loses33%50%43%0%75%43%

Form: Sakaryaspor: DWLLDWL • Sivasspor: LDLLWDW

League goals

Metric Sakaryaspor Sivasspor
HATHAT
GF total64107310
GF avg2.01.01.42.30.81.4
GA total7916189
GA avg2.32.32.30.32.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSakaryasporSivasspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%71%57%
1.529%57%29%43%
2.514%43%14%14%
3.50%29%14%14%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSakaryasporSivasspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricSakaryasporSivasspor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSakaryasporSivasspor
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-2—5-0—
Biggest losses1-44-1—4-2
Goals For3152
Goals Against4414

Model comparison

MetricSakaryasporSivasspor
Form36%64%
Att40%60%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sivasspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.37 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.91 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ William Hill
No2.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sakaryaspor = 2.54 (league 1.57), Sivasspor = 1.44 (league 1.27)

Sivasspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sakaryaspor 0 1.9% 2.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 4.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.3% 5.3% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.2% 4.7% 3.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.9% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 20.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1