1. Lig — Turkey
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Kazım Karabekir Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.61) 0.82 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.4% 31.0% 26.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Van BB
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzurum BB 0 14.5% 11.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.0% 7.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricErzurum BBVan BB
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack57%29%
Defense79%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Erzurum BB Van BB
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%50%38%50%25%38%
Draws75%50%63%25%50%38%
Loses0%0%0%25%25%25%

Form: Erzurum BB: WDDWDWDD • Van BB: WWDLDDLW

League goals

Metric Erzurum BB Van BB
HATHAT
GF total7815538
GF avg1.82.01.91.30.81.0
GA total538246
GA avg1.30.81.00.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineErzurum BBVan BB
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%50%38%
1.563%25%25%38%
2.525%13%25%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricErzurum BBVan BB
HATHAT
Clean sheets123325
Failed to score000134

Penalties

MetricErzurum BBVan BB
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricErzurum BBVan BB
Wins12
Draws22
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-02-3
Biggest losses——1-22-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricErzurum BBVan BB
Form64%36%
Att67%33%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h80%20%
Goals83%17%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Erzurum BB or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ William Hill
Draw3.61 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Erzurum BB = 1.12 (league 1.61), Van BB = 0.82 (league 1.28)

Van BB
0 1 2 3 4 5
Erzurum BB 0 14.5% 11.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.2% 13.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.0% 7.4% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.4% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 26.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1