Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:30 • Yusuf Ziya Öniş Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.61) 1.33 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.9% 28.5% 59.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.9%
0 - 0
17.2%
0 - 2
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sakaryaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarıyer 0 17.2% 22.9% 15.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6%
1 7.4% 9.8% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarıyerSakaryaspor
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack18%29%
Defense59%41%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarıyer Sakaryaspor
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins0%20%13%50%0%25%
Draws33%0%13%25%50%38%
Loses67%80%75%25%50%38%

Form: Sarıyer: LDLLLLLW • Sakaryaspor: DWLLDWLD

League goals

Metric Sarıyer Sakaryaspor
HATHAT
GF total1566410
GF avg0.31.00.81.51.01.3
GA total57127916
GA avg1.71.41.51.82.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarıyerSakaryaspor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%88%88%
1.513%63%25%50%
2.513%0%13%38%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarıyerSakaryaspor
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score224101

Penalties

MetricSarıyerSakaryaspor
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricSarıyerSakaryaspor
Wins01
Draws11
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-33-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-44-1
Goals For1331
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricSarıyerSakaryaspor
Form38%63%
Att38%63%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total39.7%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Sakaryaspor

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sarıyer = 0.43 (league 1.61), Sakaryaspor = 1.33 (league 1.28)

Sakaryaspor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarıyer 0 17.2% 22.9% 15.3% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6%
1 7.4% 9.8% 6.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
2 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.9% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 59.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1