Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • BG Grup 4 Eylül Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.59) 0.19 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
84.0% 9.4% 1.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.8%
3 - 0
18.1%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
Serik Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sivasspor 0 6.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.0% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.8% 3.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.1% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSivassporSerik Belediyespor
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack41%41%
Defense88%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sivasspor Serik Belediyespor
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%0%25%50%25%38%
Draws33%40%38%25%50%38%
Loses0%60%38%25%25%25%

Form: Sivasspor: LDLLWDWD • Serik Belediyespor: DWLLWWDD

League goals

Metric Sivasspor Serik Belediyespor
HATHAT
GF total7310538
GF avg2.30.61.31.30.81.0
GA total1895712
GA avg0.31.61.11.31.81.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSivassporSerik Belediyespor
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%50%75%63%
1.525%38%25%25%
2.513%13%0%25%
3.513%13%0%25%
4.513%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSivassporSerik Belediyespor
HATHAT
Clean sheets224213
Failed to score033022

Penalties

MetricSivassporSerik Belediyespor
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSivassporSerik Belediyespor
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-01-2
Biggest losses4-22-45-0
Goals For5222
Goals Against1445

Model comparison

MetricSivassporSerik Belediyespor
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution93%7%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.8%32.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sivasspor or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw4.27 @ Pinnacle
Away5.36 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No1.93 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sivasspor = 2.61 (league 1.59), Serik Belediyespor = 0.19 (league 1.30)

Serik Belediyespor
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sivasspor 0 6.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.0% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.8% 3.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 18.1% 3.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.8% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 6.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 84.0% · Draw 9.4% · Away win 1.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1