Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 17:00 • Spoi̇nt İnşaat Ümrani̇yespor Stadyumu
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.61) 0.94 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.9% 34.4% 39.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.5%
0 - 1
18.3%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sarıyer
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ümraniyespor 0 19.5% 18.3% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricÜmraniyesporSarıyer
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack19%25%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ümraniyespor Sarıyer
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins20%25%22%0%20%11%
Draws40%0%22%25%0%11%
Loses40%75%56%75%80%78%

Form: Ümraniyespor: WLDLLLWDL • Sarıyer: LDLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Ümraniyespor Sarıyer
HATHAT
GF total426257
GF avg0.80.50.70.51.00.8
GA total67137714
GA avg1.21.81.41.81.41.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineÜmraniyesporSarıyer
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%56%89%
1.511%33%11%67%
2.50%11%11%0%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricÜmraniyesporSarıyer
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricÜmraniyesporSarıyer
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricÜmraniyesporSarıyer
Wins11
Draws11
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-10-3
Biggest losses0-24-00-22-0
Goals For2113
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricÜmraniyesporSarıyer
Form57%43%
Att43%57%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Ümraniyespor or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.44 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away2.23 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ümraniyespor = 0.70 (league 1.61), Sarıyer = 0.94 (league 1.28)

Sarıyer
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ümraniyespor 0 19.5% 18.3% 8.6% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.5% 12.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.7% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.9% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 39.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1